PenanceAU
yesterday at 10:24 PM
The headline is a bit misleading, though perhaps not intentionally.
Shin took a 2-stone handicap from KataGo which means that Shin is the weaker of the two. But to give that more context, Shin is also the strongest human player to have ever lived in raw strength terms by a good margin, and is known as replicating AI move-for-move more closely than anyone else.
If they were to play even then thereâs no chance any human could win (and pretty much all pros agree with that). Lee Sedol beating AlphaGo in game 4 of that series is largely considered the last time a human beat a modern AI in an even game, which is why it was so amazing.
RE the game, Katago was set to use the strongest available model and ran on a 3x 3090 GPU system, which is a lot for KataGo. 20 seconds might sound like a handicap, but thatâs over 100,000 play out variations which is essentially infinite for modern KataGo models (anything over 10,000 is overkill).
Shin played well in all games, but his strategy was to avoid complexity. KataGo reads out complex fighting like an absolute monster, so Shin was trying to play very very solid and very very calm so as to not give KataGo an in.
The 2-stone handicap could be thought of as roughly 10-15 points of âbufferâ. Thatâs massive in professional games, and thatâs what Shin used to win. He played so overly solid that it sometimes cost a point or two, but it removed an opening for Katago to fight. He did this at the key opening and middle-game sections and never burnt through the full buffer of handicap points in the last two games. Thatâs why those games look kinda âboringâ, itâs because Shin wanted them to be that way.
Also note that KataGo probably could have won if its âvarianceâ was tuned higher (basically it taking risks). Standard KataGo wonât take risks, it just wins with brute force. For handicap games though you can tune its willingness to start fights higher to prevent people from just playing ultra solid (like Shin did).
Shin did an absolutely amazing job and he deserves all the recognition. Katago routinely beats professionals giving them 3-4 stones of handicap, so the win by Shin highlights to me how strong he is, but also just how well he understands how the AI âthinksâ.
jasonfarnon
yesterday at 11:40 PM
naive question--does " He did this at the key opening and middle-game sections and never burnt through the full buffer of handicap points in the last two games. " imply in retrospect he could have won with a smaller handicap? or was having the rest of that buffer in reserve guiding strategy?